How Conservative is Orange County?

Andrew Sullivan received an email that has a familiar ring to it.

I am a 33 year old wife and a mom of a 15 month old boy living in a wealthy liberal enclave of Los Angeles called Hancock Park where people go to the farmers market on Sunday, discuss the “plight of the poor” as their nannies stroll their young ones in Bugaboo Frog ($800) strollers on the magnolia tree shaded sidewalks on Fridays, and bash Bush, well, everyday.

This is a very common scene in the wealthier parts of Orange County, a famous ‘Republican stronghold’. Personally, I think this description is a huge misnomer. I’ve been here since 1989, and while everyone loves to talk about how conservative Orange County is, the reality is quite different. And why shouldn’t it be? The moneymakers in Hollywood are largely Democrats. Billionaires like George Soros are definitely supporting the Kerry-Edwards team. Senator Kerry would like you to believe that he’s being propelled by the support of his middle- and lower-class base, but it ain’t necessarily so.

A typical Laguna Beach homeLast Saturday, Lesley and I were returning from an enjoyable ‘two martini lunch’ at the Salt Creek Grill and decided to drive through the inland portions of Laguna Beach. We wound our way past hundreds of homes, but not a single one was worth less than a million dollars. Most are probably in the $5 million range. We’re talking rich with a capital ‘R’. There were Kerry-Edwards signs on many of the lawns, but I didn’t see a single Bush-Cheney.

Lesley thought it was probably due to the fact that Laguna Beach is an art colony, but I’m not sure that’s the answer. Laguna Beach is home to several famous art festivals and galleries, and its heritage is certainly that of an artists colony. But the folks with $5 million homes and matching Mercedes 500 series convertibles aren’t artists, they’re corporate types and business owners with high paying jobs. I don’t mean to dog on Laguna Beach. It’s one of my favorite places. But the disparity in political advertising was curious.

Laguna Beach is even home to a sizeable Kerry campaign operation right on Pacific Coast Highway near the famous Pottery Shack (which recently went out of business, unfortunately). Here in Irvine, where the median home price is nearly a million bucks, I see the same pattern: lots of Kerry-Edwards bumper stickers, not a single one for the Bush campaign. The only place Bush paraphernalia has been in evidence is in the older sections of north Orange County. Fullerton. Santa Ana. Garden Grove. But these are much less affluent areas.

Could the answer be something as simple as a climate of fear among conservatives? I don’t think so. The most famous blogger from Orange County is Kevin Drum, a staunch Democrat. We’ve elected several Democrats to Congress, including two Senators. Village Voice Media felt strongly enough about O.C. that they publish a newspaper here. Not a very good one, mind you. But it’s the thought that counts. I would even go so far as to say that most of my friends are registered Democrats.

If you want numbers, UC Irvine 2000 Annual Study found that Orange County is much less conservative than is generally believed:

Often stereotyped as a bastion of conservatism, Orange County does not fit the profile when it comes to social issues, according to UC Irvine’s 2000 Orange County Annual Survey. Though most county residents describe themselves as moderate (31 percent) to conservative (43 percent) politically, many hold liberal views on social issues.

The study found that residents of O.C. favored abortion access, gun control, gays serving openly in military, strict environmental laws, and held some non-conservative views on the issue of income taxes.

So what’s going on here? Just a holdover from the time when ‘wealthy’ was associated with ‘conservative’? If that’s the case, Kerry must be the bizzaro candidate because he would hold the distinction of being the wealthiest occupant of the White House in American history. No one else even comes close. The Los Angeles Times reports that the Kerry household has a net worth of $1 billion.

If you live in O.C., I’d be interested in hearing your thoughts on how conservative the county is.

  8 comments for “How Conservative is Orange County?

  1. Jon
    September 28, 2004 at 4:57 pm

    Do you think a study might reveal that the conservatives moved out to Riverside and San Bernardino counties? Just a thought.

  2. Ron
    September 28, 2004 at 5:13 pm

    Since you live out there, you’re probably in a better position to determine the political scene in the 909. What’s your feeling on the matter?

  3. Jon
    September 29, 2004 at 8:41 pm

    It’s a mixed bag as far as I know, but I gotta admit I haven’t really thought about it before. I think the people here are transplants from all over. I’m part of three Yahoo groups dedicated to the area and neighborhoods here… every once in a while someone pops up a political comment in the message area and there’s a bit of excitement, so I’d say we got all types here.

  4. Tammy
    October 28, 2004 at 9:26 pm

    When my husband and I moved to Mission Viejo from Irvine, we definitely noticed
    how much more “Republican”, conservative, and religious our new neighbors were.
    The land of soccer moms, business owners, too many real estate agents, and where everything closes at 9pm! At least Irvine had the UCI campus giving it a shot of liberalism and infusing it with the students’ different ethnicities/cultures.

    Mission Viejo isn’t as “rich” as Newport Beach, so being “wealthy” doesn’t necessarily
    translate to being conservative and Republican. Perhaps more aptly its residents
    take to the GOP because they are a more racially homogeneous, religious, law-abiding, family-oriented group desiring fewer taxes.

  5. Mauriuce Giovanni
    May 12, 2005 at 1:14 pm

    Well the numbers speak for themselves…Bush got 60% of O.C.’s votes. Barbara Boxer lost in OC to Bill Jones, and the county has one Democratic Rep to Congress (Loretta Sanchez)…The OC is far from becoming Flamming Liberal.

  6. Tom
    November 9, 2005 at 1:02 pm

    Having grown up in Fullerton, but now happily residing in Chicago, I think the numbers do speak for themselves; however, being Republican and being wealthy are two different things; if you look at the blue vs the red states, it appears that the more affluent and educated states went democrat, the less affluent and less educated went republican. Issues such as abortion, religion, homosexuality, and liberal causes are the lightning rod, not the amount of money one may have. With education, many times comes tolerance, not a republican theme or agenda.

  7. Snowball
    September 4, 2012 at 10:26 am

    Was born and raised in conservative Orange County. Lived with my liberal family. Woke up after graduating from high school in 1979 and became a conservative over time. Wealth had little to do with political inclinations but morality, justice and the intent of the forefathers of the USA had and still have much to do with it. When I left Southern California in 1994, it had already become more liberal than I could stand. The most notable social change was that more and more were dependent on government in their everyday lives. I moved to conservative Idaho. I watch from year to year as the state becomes more liberal than it once was. More and more people dependent on government in their lives. It is sad watching our country turn into Greece.

    • Ron
      September 4, 2012 at 11:34 am

      It’s sad indeed. But perhaps the social “safety net” needs to spectacularly fail — which it is certainly on the path to doing — before our country can hit bottom, collectively wake up, and smell the coffee.

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